Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.026435 0.028425 0.030428 0.032593 0.034865 0.037174 0.039698
2026-02-01 0.022661 0.025757 0.028991 0.032611 0.036539 0.040659 0.045298
2026-02-08 0.020285 0.023990 0.027963 0.032518 0.037571 0.042984 0.049196
2026-02-15 0.018438 0.022568 0.027098 0.032396 0.038386 0.044908 0.052510
2026-02-22 0.016971 0.021426 0.026413 0.032350 0.039169 0.046702 0.055596
2026-03-01 0.015546 0.020220 0.025552 0.032005 0.039529 0.047949 0.058008
2026-03-08 0.014111 0.018903 0.024474 0.031326 0.039429 0.048610 0.059698
2026-03-15 0.012856 0.017725 0.023488 0.030687 0.039315 0.049201 0.061264
2026-03-22 0.012391 0.017483 0.023597 0.031326 0.040686 0.051507 0.064812
2026-03-29 0.011712 0.016930 0.023290 0.031432 0.041397 0.053021 0.067425
2026-04-05 0.011014 0.016315 0.022874 0.031373 0.041884 0.054252 0.069693
2026-04-12 0.010614 0.016060 0.022888 0.031830 0.042987 0.056211 0.072825
2026-04-19 0.009902 0.015398 0.022402 0.031696 0.043421 0.057444 0.075199
2026-04-26 0.009267 0.014813 0.022000 0.031665 0.043988 0.058859 0.077829
2026-05-03 0.008664 0.014237 0.021578 0.031577 0.044461 0.060140 0.080286
2026-05-10 0.008098 0.013678 0.021151 0.031458 0.044874 0.061335 0.082629
2026-05-17 0.007603 0.013192 0.020796 0.031412 0.045364 0.062613 0.085072
2026-05-24 0.007042 0.012579 0.020241 0.031075 0.045458 0.063383 0.086876
2026-05-31 0.006413 0.011829 0.019464 0.030410 0.045099 0.063562 0.087930
2026-06-07 0.005844 0.011137 0.018738 0.029784 0.044767 0.063754 0.088982
2026-06-14 0.005700 0.011091 0.018926 0.030410 0.046089 0.066061 0.092710
2026-06-21 0.005410 0.010799 0.018745 0.030514 0.046710 0.067467 0.095299
2026-06-28 0.005091 0.010445 0.018458 0.030456 0.047104 0.068575 0.097510